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If the consumer finds the change to digital is too complicated I don’t think cable / satellite TV will be any less confusing. I also don’t believe this same crowd of confused consumers will leave TV because they are not likely to investigate internet streams or hook their iPod up to the TV with the $50 Apple cable from shows downloaded via iTunes. That’s what folks like you and me do while taking a break from reading feeds, listening to satellite radio channels, popping on the local NPR station, sending a text message to our pals, Tweeting a clever link on Twitter and downloading the latest DJ Deedle cast. Those we are concerned leaving due to confusion won’t leave because they will have a simple solution from their local TV shop and by local TV shop I mean awful corporate stores like Best Buy. The converter box or a new TV will be set up by their favorite grandchild this Christmas or on Easter break, unless of course grandma gets a laptop sets up a Twitter account and follows broadcasters just to berate them for messing up their TV by going digital.
Either way, I have a lot of faith in the TV consumers to get it figured out because American’s love their TV.
Diane Mermigas has an important point: regardless of the positive end for all eventually, Wilmington was the absolute best case switchover, and broadcasters need to do much more to prepare viewers for the change.